[also see Epoch AI — trends]

Compute per $ 1.4x per year
Model Capability per Compute 3x per year
Model Capability per $ 4x per year
Model Context Length 30x per year
Task Length (at 50% success rate) 3.4x per year
Inference per Second 2x per year
Inference Cost per Token 0.1x per year
Energy Usage 3x per year
Model IQ 30 points per year